Thunderstorms From: 24-06-2019 00:00 Until: 22:59 warning for: Thunderstorms Level: Yellow info button
Heavy rain and thunderstorms may lead to flooding and disruption to travel.What to expect There is a small chance that homes and businesses could be flooded quickly, with damage to some buildings from floodwater, lightning strikes, hail or strong winds There is a small chance of fast flowing or deep floodwater causing danger to life Where flooding or lightning strikes occur, there is a chance of delays and some cancellations to train and bus services Spray and sudden flooding could lead to difficult driving conditions and some road closures There is a slight chance that power cuts could occur and other services to some homes and businesses could be lost 

WxSim & WU Forecast Comparison

WesterhopeWX uses WXSim to produce a local forecast using the data gathered from the weather station and supplemented by other weather stations and weather buoys at 06:00, 11:00, 15:00, and 21:00. The following tables compare the accuracy of the temperature forecasts produced by Weather Underground and WXSim against the actual high and low temperature recorded by this weather station.

Morning Forecast @ 06:00

Weather Underground (WU), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
Updated: 25-03-19 at 05:22
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0°C High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
25-03-19 12   12 3   3 12   13 6   5 13   15 4   4 14   16 6   4
24-03-19 9 9.6 10 3 2.7 3 11   12 4   3 12   13 6   3 12   14 5   3
23-03-19 10 9.7 9 2 3.9 2 9 9.6 9 3 2.7 2 11   11 3   2 11   12 6   5
22-03-19 12 11.4 15 3 3.9 4 11 9.7 9 3 3.9 2 10 9.6 11 4 2.7 4 11   15 2   3
21-03-19 15 15.6 20 8 7.4 9 12 11.4 16 3 3.9 4 11 9.7 10 2 3.9 2 10 9.6 10 5 2.7 4
20-03-19 14 14.4 17 9 10.5 8 14 15.6 19 8 7.4 8 12 11.4 14 3 3.9 4 10 9.7 10 2 3.9 2
19-03-19 12 12.2 15 8 9.2 9 14 14.4 17 9 10.5 8 14 15.6 17 8 7.4 11 12 11.4 16 3 3.9 7
16-03-19 13 9.3 11 1 5.7 4 8 12.2 7 0 9.2 4 10 14.4 7 3 10.5 4 11 15.6 11 7 7.4 8
15-03-19 9 10.6 10 2 2.6 5 8 9.3 8 1 5.7 4 8 12.2 8 1 9.2 5 9 14.4 10 2 10.5 5
14-03-19 10 11.1 10 5 6.2 6 8 10.6 11 2 2.6 7 6 9.3 8 1 5.7 4 8 12.2 7 1 9.2 6
10-03-19 6 11.8 10 1 6.2 4 8 11.1 9 4 6.2 4 8 10.6 14 4 2.6 3 9 9.3 14 4 5.7 4
09-03-19 7 7.4 10 1 1.8 4 5 11.8 9 2 6.2 4 9 11.1 14 4 6.2 3 8 10.6 14 4 2.6 4
05-03-19 10 6.4 10 4 3.8 4 12 7.4 9 4 1.8 4 7 11.8 14 -1 6.2 3 8 11.1 14 4 6.2 4
03-03-19 10 9.1 10 3 1.9 4 8 6.4 9 2 3.8 4 9 7.4 14 3 1.8 3 9 11.8 14 4 6.2 4
Results WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
# Succ 10 7 11 8 7 5 7 6 5 4 6 6 4 2 5 5
% Succ 76.9   53.8 84.6   61.5 58.3   41.7 58.3   50.0 45.5   36.4 54.5   54.5 40.0   20.0 50.0   50.0
Ave Error 1.5   2.1 1.6   1.4 2.4   2.3 2.4   2.0 2.4   3.1 3.4   2.5 2.4   3.3 3.0   2.3
Net Error -0.1   1.4 -1.2   0.0 -1.0   0.2 -1.9   -0.7 -1.7   0.7 -2.6   -1.3 -2.2   0.4 -2.2   -1.0
Std Dev 1.7   1.2 1.5   0.9 1.7   1.5 2.4   1.4 1.3   1.8 2.5   1.7 1.7   1.6 2.7   1.3

Afternoon Forecast @ 11:00

Weather Underground (WU), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
Updated: 25-03-19 at 10:52
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0°C High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
25-03-19 11   13 3   3 12   14 6   4 13   15 5   4 14   16 6   4
24-03-19 9 9.6 11 3 2.7 2 11   12 3   3 12   11 6   3 13   14 5   3
22-03-19 12 9.7 14 3 3.9 4 10 9.6 9 2 2.7 2 10   12 4   4 11   14 2   3
20-03-19 15 15.6 17 9 7.4 9 16 9.7 19 8 3.9 9 13 9.6 15 3 2.7 4 10   11 2   2
19-03-19 12 12.2 15 8 9.2 7 15 15.6 15 9 7.4 9 14 9.7 18 8 3.9 12 12 9.6 16 3 2.7 6
18-03-19 9 9.3 10 3 5.7 5 12 12.2 13 8 9.2 8 14 15.6 16 9 7.4 9 15 9.7 16 8 3.9 7
17-03-19 -1 8.3 3 8 0.6 7 -1 9.3 2 10 5.7 8 4 12.2 5 12 9.2 13 8 15.6 7 14 7.4 14
16-03-19 11 2.2 11 1 11.6 4 8 8.3 8 0 0.6 3 10 9.3 7 2 5.7 4 11 12.2 12 8 9.2 9
13-03-19 11 10.6 10 6 2.6 5 10 2.2 11 5 11.6 7 8 8.3 12 2 0.6 8 8 9.3 9 2 5.7 3
12-03-19 7 9.4 10 4 4.7 4 11 10.6 9 6 2.6 4 10 2.2 14 5 11.6 3 12 8.3 14 3 0.6 4
11-03-19 8 8.4 10 4 5.1 4 7 9.4 9 4 4.7 4 11 10.6 14 5 2.6 3 10 2.2 14 5 11.6 4
09-03-19 7 5.2 10 1 1.2 4 5 8.4 9 2 5.1 4 9 9.4 14 4 4.7 3 8 10.6 14 4 2.6 4
08-03-19 7 6.4 10 3 3.8 4 8 5.2 9 1 1.2 4 6 8.4 14 1 5.1 3 9 9.4 14 3 4.7 4
05-03-19 9 6.9 10 4 0.1 4 13 6.4 9 4 3.8 4 7 5.2 14 -1 1.2 3 8 8.4 14 4 5.1 4
Results WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
# Succ 8 6 8 7 5 7 7 7 6 1 4 6 4 2 5 4
% Succ 61.5   46.2 61.5   53.8 41.7   58.3 58.3   58.3 54.5   9.1 36.4   54.5 40.0   20.0 50.0   40.0
Ave Error 2.3   3.0 2.7   2.3 3.5   3.1 2.2   2.0 2.8   5.6 2.7   3.5 3.3   5.3 2.9   3.0
Net Error 0.2   2.1 -0.1   0.3 0.6   1.3 0.0   0.6 0.5   3.9 -0.4   0.9 0.6   3.5 0.1   0.6
Std Dev 3.0   2.3 3.0   2.2 3.2   3.3 1.8   1.4 2.6   2.9 1.6   2.8 1.8   2.5 1.6   1.5

Evening Forecast @ 15:00

Weather Underground (WU), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
Updated: 25-03-19 at 14:52
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0°C High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
25-03-19 13   11 3   3 12   13 6   5 13   15 5   3 14   15 6   4
22-03-19 12 9.6 12 3 2.7 3 10   9 2   2 10   11 4   4 11   14 3   3
21-03-19 17 15.6 15 8 7.4 8 12 9.6 15 3 2.7 4 11   10 2   3 9   11 4   3
19-03-19 12 14.4 13 8 10.5 8 15 15.6 16 9 7.4 9 14 9.6 18 8 2.7 10 12   16 3   5
18-03-19 9 9.3 10 3 5.7 5 12 14.4 13 8 10.5 8 14 15.6 15 9 7.4 7 15 9.6 17 8 2.7 6
16-03-19 n/a 8.3 12 1 0.6 4 8 9.3 8 0 5.7 3 10 14.4 8 2 10.5 4 11 15.6 11 8 7.4 7
15-03-19 7 10.6 8 1 2.6 3 11 8.3 8 1 0.6 5 8 9.3 8 0 5.7 4 9 14.4 8 2 10.5 5
14-03-19 11 11.1 11 5 6.2 6 8 10.6 11 1 2.6 6 7 8.3 8 1 0.6 3 8 9.3 9 0 5.7 5
13-03-19 12 11.8 12 6 6.2 5 10 11.1 10 5 6.2 6 9 10.6 11 2 2.6 7 8 8.3 10 2 0.6 3
10-03-19 5 9.4 10 1 4.7 4 8 11.8 9 4 6.2 4 8 11.1 14 4 6.2 3 10 10.6 14 4 2.6 4
07-03-19 7 7.4 10 -1 1.8 4 8 9.4 9 3 4.7 4 7 11.8 14 2 6.2 3 6 11.1 14 1 6.2 4
06-03-19 12 10.8 10 4 3.3 4 7 7.4 9 -1 1.8 4 8 9.4 14 4 4.7 3 8 11.8 14 2 6.2 4
26-02-19 19 10.3 10 3 5.2 4 14 10.8 9 3 3.3 4 9 7.4 14 4 1.8 3 12 9.4 14 6 4.7 4
24-02-19 14 18.2 10 3 5.1 4 16 10.3 9 3 5.2 4 16 10.8 14 3 3.3 3 14 7.4 14 4 1.8 4
Results WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
# Succ 6 8 7 10 5 10 7 6 6 4 5 5 3 2 4 4
% Succ 46.2   61.5 53.8   76.9 41.7   83.3 58.3   50.0 54.5   36.4 45.5   45.5 30.0   20.0 40.0   40.0
Ave Error 2.4   1.9 1.6   1.2 2.3   1.5 1.9   1.9 2.8   3.4 2.9   2.9 3.6   4.0 3.6   2.1
Net Error -0.1   -0.3 -1.3   -0.0 0.0   -0.2 -1.5   0.3 -0.8   1.8 -1.2   -0.2 -0.7   1.8 -1.1   -0.2
Std Dev 1.5   1.2 1.1   0.9 1.0   1.4 1.3   1.1 1.2   2.5 2.3   2.0 1.8   1.9 2.2   1.4

Night Forecast @ 21:00

Weather Underground (WU), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
Updated: 24-03-19 at 20:52
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0°C Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
24-03-19 3   3 12   12 3   3 12   13 6   3 13   15 4   3 14   15
23-03-19 3 3.8 2 10 9.6 10 3   1 12   11 4   3 12   12 6   3 13   13
20-03-19 9 3.7 8 15 9.7 19 8 3.8 8 12 9.6 14 3   3 10   10 2   2 10   10
19-03-19 8 9.7 8 14 14.4 16 9 3.7 8 15 9.7 17 8 3.8 8 12 9.6 16 3   5 10   10
18-03-19 3 4.8 5 12 12.2 14 8 9.7 9 15 14.4 16 9 3.7 8 16 9.7 17 8 3.8 9 12 9.6 11
17-03-19 -1 0.6 3 9 9.3 7 4 4.8 2 13 12.2 8 8 9.7 5 14 14.4 13 9 3.7 7 14 9.7 14
16-03-19 1 1.8 3 8 8.3 7 -1 0.6 2 10 9.3 8 3 4.8 5 11 12.2 13 8 9.7 7 14 14.4 14
14-03-19 5 0.4 6 8 11.6 10 2 1.8 6 8 8.3 8 1 0.6 4 8 9.3 6 1 4.8 4 9 12.2 9
12-03-19 8 6.2 10 4 11.1 4 11 0.4 9 6 11.6 4 10 1.8 14 5 8.3 3 12 0.6 14 3 9.3 4
10-03-19 5 7.9 10 1 3.9 4 9 6.2 9 4 11.1 4 8 0.4 14 4 11.6 3 11 1.8 14 4 8.3 4
06-03-19 11 5.2 10 3 1.2 4 8 7.9 9 -1 3.9 4 8 6.2 14 3 11.1 3 8 0.4 14 1 11.6 4
05-03-19 n/a 10.8 10 4 5.2 4 13 5.2 9 4 1.2 4 6 7.9 14 -1 3.9 3 8 6.2 14 3 11.1 4
28-02-19 n/a 10.3 10 4 1.9 4 11 10.8 9 5 5.2 4 12 5.2 14 5 1.2 3 9 7.9 14 1 3.9 4
27-02-19 15 5.8 10 1 2.4 4 9 10.3 9 4 1.9 4 12 10.8 14 6 5.2 3 11 5.2 14 5 1.2 4
Results WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
# Succ 6 6 8 8 7 5 5 5 6 1 4 4 3 1 1 3
% Succ 46.2   46.2 61.5   61.5 58.3   41.7 41.7   41.7 54.5   9.1 36.4   36.4 30.0   10.0 10.0   30.0
Ave Error 3.3   2.6 2.1   2.6 3.1   3.1 2.7   3.3 3.7   6.2 3.6   4.2 5.2   7.4 4.6   3.7
Net Error 1.6   1.8 -0.6   0.5 2.2   2.0 -0.3   -0.3 2.7   5.4 -1.2   -1.2 4.1   6.7 -2.5   -1.9
Std Dev 1.8   1.7 2.1   2.5 3.1   2.0 2.2   2.5 2.3   3.7 2.5   2.5 2.6   3.8 1.7   1.4